Melodifestivalen Lineup: First Impressions
As always with Sweden, over half the field can be ruled out immediately-- the campy variety acts and pretty much anything in Swedish. The approach for many years has been to have these acts for entertainment and variety, rather than as a serious challenger, and that looks to be the case again.
The rest of the field can usually be broken down into "newcomers" and "returnees", of which the latter tend to benefit from the stronger songs, stagings and running order/internal push. Of course, many of the returners already fall into the first category of "novelty" or are otherwise there just to draw in viewing numbers. The Mamas, Dotter and probably Anton Ewald are serious, Arvingarna and Jessica Anderson less so, Eric Saade is debatable.
In terms of the strength of the lineup, in my opinion its par the course compared to recent years. The Mamas and Dotter will likely be the favourites and not without reason. A potential "sympathy vote" or whatever you wish to call it for The Mamas is likely here, as it will in other national finals. It is worth remembering however the Mamas have already been to Eurovision supporting John Lundvik and Melfest has a history of ignoring previous achievements. Little Tot’ is a concerning song title for Dotter and the main issue on paper for anyone backing before song release.
After those two, I also have my eye on Patrick Jean, Frida Green and Kadiatou as well as Tusse to a lesser extent. It is worth remembering however the rarity of a first time winner here however. If we count The Mamas participation with John Lundvik, 6 out of the last 7 winners had been seen previously. Usually, the producers like to “test the water” with newcomers, before arming them more heavily for future years if they prove popular.
Speaking of ‘Popular’, Eric Saade’s return is hard to judge. Will this be a serious attempt to win the contest, or just a shot in the arm for his career? I lean towards the latter. Danny Saucedo has likewise received plenty of attention and been priced as the early favorite in some quarters. Again, I am not convinced here. Too much weight is being placed on past results that are nearly a decade old. He will do well of course, but given the even greater importance the international juries carry, I don’t see this being his year.
In terms of Eurovision, I don't see any reason why Sweden won't be their usual starting price at the top of the odds once some liquidity enters the market and bookmakers begin pricing.
What are your thoughts on the Melfest field?
Leave a comment below.