Melodifestivalen Semi Final 5 Preview

I won't waste too much time this week as I think the main result is pretty clear and there's not much to speculate on. Sweden have made it pretty clear they are very happy sticking to the known “pretty boy” acts the last few weeks despite them not having the best entry in the heat to almost all international opinion (Hi Liamoo and Danny). Now that they do have the best entry anyway I don't see why Marcus and Martinus won’t come first with a strong fan poll backing that up and this should work even better on TV. Medina is a good closer and will follow comfortably in second.

I’d assume Jay Smith will also be 3rd. To prevent this being an exact copy of the fan poll and instead make this a copy of the odds I will go for Annika Wickihalder in 4th who should benefit more from the age group system than Elektra. I don't know if being a bad drag act is the whole gimmick there but that is a seriously poor performance. Chelsea Muco has also been struggling with the performance and looks very wooden so I agree everything points to a last place there unless she can find something on the night.

1. Marcus and Martinus

2. Medina

3. Jay Smith

4. Annika Wickihalder

5. Elektra

6. Chelsea Muco

After this we get our test in mathematical theory/replacement for Andra Chansen to fill the last two spots for the final. Froken Snusk will take the first of these with a 1 in 9 shot for the rest. Gunilla Persson, Circus X, Adam Woods and possibly Jay Smith if there’s some recency bias seem the likeliest to take that but I’ll treat this as more of a watching brief this year. In the unlikely case odds do appear live, I’d suggest taking the value (and Froken) with this looking very tight.

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