Odds Review: Week Ending 30/03

Back with another odds update after skipping last Sunday and there's been a few changes in the market. Firstly, Sweden have been under pressure from Austria at the top for much of the past two weeks but have once again solidified their position at number 1. So far they've maintained this spot in every edition of market watch this season but there is very little in it currently.

Part of this flip and a few other moves is the cancellation of Eurojury. Those looking to make some pre contest trades speculating on the outcome there have been forced to reconsider, leading to the Netherlands in particular seeing a gradual drop from 16s to 24s roughly. Other shifts are less explicable with Belgium shortening up and leapfrogging Estonia, Ukraine and Albania.

A number of the other more distant chasers have shortened up too which I do however think is reasonable. Not a lot in terms of probability overall between 200-1 and 400-1 but the former seems more reasonable for the likes of Greece and Germany.

The semi draw also came out on Thursday but unless there is some real dark horse lurking I don't think we have learned much there in terms of the win market with all the main favourites getting good/expected treatment. Cyprus was the big winner overall from that and see their odds cut, but they remain well in the triple figures,

Next stop are the various preview parties and other live performances popping up for fans and commentators to dissect with Austria likely to be the one under the most scrutiny: some fine vocals have been demonstrated but votability could be an issue.

I'll be keeping myself busy here with a couple of posts planned on the outsiders and one looking at recent jury voting, in addition to semi previews. I'm also lending a hand to another new project with a few energetic friends here and others too will be stepping in to fill a bit of the pre-rehearsals void. More news on those fronts as and when…