Escbetting Song Reviews Reviewed
Yes that title is not a typo, we are going down the wormhole today having a look at this year's new super scientific scoring system and seeing where the entries stack up. I'll also be highlighting any - hopefully not many - cases where my opinion has changed. Consider this a mini lead in for a proper preview to come soon.
Overall Rating (Out of 100)
Sweden 95
Austria 86
France 85
Belgium 82
Israel 79
Finland 78
Estonia 76
Australia 74
Italy 73
Malta 72
Lithuania 71
Albania 68
Greece 67
Luxembourg 65
Poland 65
Ukraine 63
Ireland 60
Netherlands 59
Switzerland 59
Cyprus 58
Czechia 56
Serbia 55
Germany 54
San Marino 50
Slovenia 49
Norway 48
Armenia 48
Azerbaijan 47
UK 46
Iceland 45
Denmark 44
Montenegro 42
Portugal 35
Croatia 28
Spain 26
Latvia 25
Georgia 15
Overall Rating Minus Personal (Out of 80)
Sweden 75
Austria 72
France 69
Israel 68
Belgium 67
Finland 65
Australia 62
Italy 61
Estonia 59
Malta 59
Lithuania 55
Ukraine 55
Luxembourg 55
Greece 51
Switzerland 51
Poland 50
Albania 50
Netherlands 48
Ireland 47
Cyprus 43
Czechia 43
Germany 42
Serbia 41
Norway 40
Armenia 39
Slovenia 37
UK 35
Iceland 35
San Marino 34
Azerbaijan 32
Denmark 30
Portugal 28
Montenegro 28
Croatia 28
Spain 24
Latvia 23
Georgia 14
I won’t bother breaking down televote and jury individually but the former is led by Sweden (20/20), then Estonia (19/20) and a big group a little further back (which I still agree with roughly). Jury Potential alone is led jointly by France and Austria (19/20) with Italy and Belgium just behind (18/20).
What's Right and what’s wrong
So some quick observations: Belgium has aged really badly since selection and is the most over ranked here. I think two other novelty-ish entries from Australia and Ireland have also started to look more and more irrelevant and also overplaced: they don't look like getting near the televote I might have previously guessed. Finland outscoring Estonia both times overall is not representative of my thoughts either in what will be one of the more speculated on h2hs.
The Netherlands could do with a 10-12pt boost to land closer to a realistic outcome (4th-8th) given a lack of jury options and it going down better than expected. In fact I'd also adjust the other Benelux entry too in Luxembourg looking more precarious so that's all three from that region whose first reviews look off. Ukraine is worthy of a boost when looking at everything in full also.
I'll touch more on some of my thoughts in the next days but also want to remind if there's discrepancy its often because I'm ranking on potential and these ratings aren't to be taken too seriously - not like anyone was anyhow. Track Record is of course another variable in here and whilst I do think that holds merit, particularly at this stage pre-rehearsals in judging who is likely to bring a good staging and where diaspora lies etc, it can easily be turned upside down by finals night.